The “indefinite ceasefire” extension has failed to de-escalate tensions, as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a catastrophic warning: any breach of the truce by the U.S. or Israel will result in the total destruction of the Gulf’s oil industry. Tehran views the ceasefire as a “meaningless” delay tactic, fearing a repeat of past betrayals where negotiations were used as cover for high-profile assassinations. This threat significantly raises the stakes for Pakistan. As the primary mediator, Pakistan faces a strategic nightmare; it has a mutual defense pact with Saudi Arabia and has deployed troops and fighter jets there. If the IRGC targets Saudi or UAE refineries, Pakistan could be dragged directly into the conflict, shattering its image as a global peacemaker and plunging the region into a multi-front war.
